PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 6%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
18,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaComentários
3
Variação 7d
-0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
27/05/26, 15:10 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Volume 24h
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de JD Vance out as VP by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 6% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando JD Vance out as VP by which date? é resolvido?
- JD Vance out as VP by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como JD Vance out as VP by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Onde mais JD Vance out as VP by which date? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets.