PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualJune 30 26%+2.0%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
24,5 mil €
Liquidez
36,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
+17.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
6/01/26, 16:5630/06/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Resultado escolhido
June 3026%
Mercados Relacionados
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
4,4 M €December 31: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
1,3 M €July 31: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
870,2 mil €June 30: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6 mil €Sim: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)
1,9 mil €3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?
765,3 €Before July: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto News
The Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto News
No-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.News
Major cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk
Year-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.News
US Sanctions Iran’s Nobitex Crypto Exchange Over Sanctions EvasionBlockchain.NewsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.