PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualDecember 31 75%-8.5%Líder entre 12 opções
Qualidade do mercado
77 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
624,3 mil €
Liquidez
68,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 1.1%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
Tendências
Resultado escolhido
December 3175%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region.
- Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted).