Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
0.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaMiddle EastChina3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 93%+0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
8,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
2/09/26, 16:39 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
LimitlessRegras
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before Xi Jinping visits the United States.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement nor a Xi Jinping visit to the United States occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US??
- A Polymarket cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? é resolvido?
- Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.