PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Republican Party 93%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
12,3 €
Liquidez
30,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
28/01/26, 21:363/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
- Também disponível em Kalshi — IA-04 House winner? · Chris McGowan 90%
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.0pt18.9%
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.2%
+44 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 163 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 919,3 mil
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.9pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt14%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11%
+125 mais resultados
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt23%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt15%
+125 mais resultados
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Golf / Golfer / Golfing99%
- Sleepy Joe99%
- Kamala99%
+28 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 582,1 mil
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+4.0pt63.3%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt28.4%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 12,7 mi
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
+125 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de IA-04 House Election Winner?
- A Polymarket cota Republican Party em 93% em 24 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando IA-04 House Election Winner é resolvido?
- IA-04 House Election Winner deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como IA-04 House Election Winner é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Onde mais IA-04 House Election Winner está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.