KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Chris McGowan 90.3%Ajustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
5.3% / 9.9%
Spread
4.6 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
7/01/26, 1:073/11/27, 15:00
Tendências
Regras
If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
- Também disponível em Polymarket — IA-04 House Election Winner · Republican Party 93%
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de IA-04 House winner??
- A Kalshi cota Chris McGowan em 90% em 24 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando IA-04 House winner? é resolvido?
- IA-04 House winner? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como IA-04 House winner? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais IA-04 House winner? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.