Probabilidade implícita atual
Gabriel Attal 100%+8.5ptLíder entre 21 opções
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
211,8 €
Liquidez
6,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
7.0% / 14.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread amploVariação 7d
+2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
22/04/26, 22:2523/04/27, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Éric Zemmour77%
Tendência de volume
$2412 de jul.27d de dados28 de jul.
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.