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  3. French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

8.1% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleição10m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Gabriel Attal
Gabriel Attal 100%+8.5%
Líder entre 21 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

1,6 mil €

Liquidez

16,1 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

2.4% / 7.1%

Spread

195.8%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-2.6%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

22/04/26, 22:3223/04/27, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Jean-Luc Mélenchon99%

Regras

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
  • Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Regras

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
  • Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.