Probabilidade implícita atual
Éric Zemmour 100%+14.4ptLíder entre 21 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
6,5 mil €
Liquidez
100,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
22
Variação 7d
+22.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
22/04/26, 22:25 UTC23/04/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.