PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualRepublican Party 82.2%+0.5ptLíder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
34,3 €
Liquidez
9,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-2.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
28/01/26, 21:343/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Republican Party83%
Comparar plataformas· Republican Party
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 83% | 0pt | 34,3 € | 9,3 mil € | há 15 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 85% | +2pt | 0 € | 3,4 mil € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
FL-12 House winner?
1a
86.7%
13.3%
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread moderadoLiquidez média
Volume total5,2 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$398 de jul.14d de dados28 de jul.
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.