PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31, 9%
Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
7,1 mil €
Liquidez
28,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-1.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
21/07/26, 18:53 UTC2/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For purposes of this market, "Before the Midterms" is defined to mean by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify.
- A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
- Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.