Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 74.5%
Previsores
44
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
16/05/25, 17:34 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Fetterman leaves the Democrats by which date?
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator John Fetterman officially changes his party affiliation from the Democratic Party to any other party or to Independent before the conclusion of the 2028 United States presidential election.
- The change must be publicly announced and reflected in official records, such as the U.S. Senate's party affiliation listings.
- If no such change occurs by the date of the 2028 election, the market will resolve to "No."
- Senator John Fetterman, representing Pennsylvania, has been a member of the Democratic Party throughout his political career.
- In early 2025, speculation arose regarding a potential party switch due to his collaborations with Republican figures and support for certain policies aligned with the GOP.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? é resolvido?
- Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria