KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2028 44.5%Líder entre 5 opções
Before Jan 1, 2028 44.5%Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
52,9 €
Contratos em aberto
35,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
6/05/26, 23:00 UTC3/11/26, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItJohn Fetterman out by which date?
PolymarketWill John Fetterman endorse a Republican before election day?
Manifold MarketsWho will John Fetterman endorse or suggest voting for in the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate Seat?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPoliticoOffice of the Clerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesBloomberg NewsNBCthe Secretary of the Senate
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Aug 1, 2027
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 3, 2026
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.