PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 86%
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3 mil €
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
14/09/26, 22:46 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
Manifold MarketsRegras
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI.
- Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
