Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
One-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoTecnologiaSpacePolítica22dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.5%
Previsores
38
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado9/06/25, 20:22 UTC30/09/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, Elon Musk publicly endorses any candidate participating in a Democratic primary election during that year.
- An endorsement is defined as a public statement of support for a specific candidate, made through any of Musk's official communication channels, including but not limited to his social media accounts, public speeches, or official press releases.
- The endorsement must be verifiable through reputable news sources or Musk's official communications.
- If no such endorsement is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, has a history of political involvement that spans various affiliations.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? é resolvido?
- Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria