PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
25 bps increase 100%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
87 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
40,4 mil €
Liquidez
161,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
17/06/26, 22:53 UTC10/09/26, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
Polymarket🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?
KalshiWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExRegras
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para 25 bps increase é de 100%. As cotações diferem cerca de 1 ponto percentual entre as plataformas mais afastadas. As plataformas não concordam sobre qual resultado está à frente.
Referencia CoinRithm 25 bps increase 100% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Kalshi — European Central Bank rate decision in September · Hike 1-25bps 95%
- Também disponível em Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 98%
Mercados abertos
Central BanksKALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 78,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 21 mil
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-1.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-1.0pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 41,2 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de ECB Interest Rates: September 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 25 bps increase em 100% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 é resolvido?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Como ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Onde mais ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi, Limitless.