PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 89.1%
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
19,7 €
Liquidez
5,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
15
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
27/03/26, 21:32 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
[Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
PolymarketZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PolymarketWill Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular be charged with another felony?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
- If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 92,5 mil
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt38%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+3.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt32%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,-4.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202797%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 202794%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T22.1%
- $1.75T–$2.0T21.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T-4.5pt15.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+18.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+10.0pt54%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Clavicular sentenced to prison??
- A Polymarket cota No em 89% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Clavicular sentenced to prison? é resolvido?
- Clavicular sentenced to prison? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Clavicular sentenced to prison? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.