Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
3.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoLatin America17d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
41-44% 45.9%+17.5ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
14,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
16/09/26, 02:26 UTC5/10/26, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?
PolymarketWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
FutuurBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
LimitlessBrazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)
KalshiRegras
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election.
- The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count.