KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 37% 88%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
1/09/26, 02:00 UTC4/10/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
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If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)?
- A Kalshi cota At least 37% em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) é resolvido?
- Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) deverá ser resolvido em 4 de outubro de 2027.
- Como Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.