KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 21% 96%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
5,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
1/09/26, 02:00 UTC4/10/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketRegras
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 21% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Flávio Bolsonaro's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)?
- A Kalshi cota At least 21% em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) é resolvido?
- Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) deverá ser resolvido em 4 de outubro de 2027.
- Como Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 21% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.