Probabilidade implícita atual
Alibaba 33%+2.0ptLíder entre 11 opções
Alibaba 33%+2.0ptQualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,3 mil €
Liquidez
1,9 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
1/10/26, 14:01 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.