Probabilidade implícita atual
AfD 86%+0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
9,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
83.0% / 88.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+7.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
20/08/26, 18:18 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “AfD” if AfD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than AfD in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both AfD and SPD receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD??
- A Polymarket cota AfD em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD? é resolvido?
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.