Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 60.8%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado11/02/26, 11:09 UTC24/03/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes?
Manifold MarketsWill any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
KalshiWill any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?
KalshiWill a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
PolymarketIf asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
Manifold MarketsWill the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW party intends to call Germany's Federal Constinutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) after the party very narrowly missed out on reaching the necessary 5% of votes in the last election to get seats in the federal parliament.
- What will be the outcome with regards to a recount?
- If the court rules that BSW gets parliament seats without a recount, or something similar, this still resolves "No".
- The question only refers to the court's ruling in terms of a recount.
- (So whether that recount ends up happening is also irrelevant)
- See this other market for the outcome of a recount if it ends up taking place: https://manifold.markets/ADings/if-germanys-2025-election-votes-are