If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
One-OffEuropaPolíticaCrime e justiça2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70.7%
Previsores
54
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado20/01/24, 09:46 UTC31/12/26, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?
Manifold MarketsWill Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court decide that sports event contracts are protected under the Commodities Exchange Act? [1k subsidy]
Manifold MarketsTurkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegras
The AfD is a right-wing populist party in Germany.
- Parts of it are openly extremist, e.g. calling for mass deportations of immigrants, even if they are German citizens.
- They are currently polling at >20%.
- Some politicians and law experts have said that the AfD should be banned because it presents a danger to democracy.
- Because banning a party is a severe interference with foundational freedoms, the hurdles are high and it's not certain the process would be successful.
- Resolves N/A if nobody asks the court to ban the AfD.
