KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualNão 91%
Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
15,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
8.2% / 9.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 24 minutos
12/02/26, 15:001/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes9%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 91% | +82pt | 0,9 € | 15,2 mil € | há 24 minutos | |
 PolymarketMais ativa85% de correspondência · auto | Média | 93% | +84pt | 26,4 € | 7,4 mil € | há 4 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
7.0 pts5m
+0.1pt92.1%
-0.1pt7.9%
58 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaPerto da resolução
Volume total21,5 mil €
Volume 24h26,4 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$13 de jul.22d de dados28 de jul.
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If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.