Probabilidade implícita atual
Grüne 40.2%-0.5ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
43 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
4,3 €
Liquidez
33,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
20/08/26, 18:14 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
PolymarketSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSwedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiRegras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Berlin State Election: 4th Place?
- A Polymarket cota Grüne em 40% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Berlin State Election: 4th Place é resolvido?
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Berlin State Election: 4th Place é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Onde mais Berlin State Election: 4th Place está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.