KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Christian Democrats 63.2%+13.0ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
50 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,7 €
Liquidez
16,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
1/09/26, 02:00 UTC18/09/26, 21:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
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Manifold MarketsChristian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Swedish Election Authority
- Rank parties by certified nationwide valid-vote count in the Swedish Election Authority's final Riksdag result, equivalent to unrounded valid-vote share.
- Seats, mandates, regional or municipal results, polls, projections and preliminary counts do NOT count.
- A party qualifies only if exactly six parties have more valid votes and none has the same count.
- An exact tie or unlisted sole seventh-place party makes every named market resolve NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)?
- A Kalshi cota Christian Democrats em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) é resolvido?
- Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) deverá ser resolvido em 18 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.