Probabilidade implícita atual
AfD 29.5%-3.0ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
75 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
61,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
8/07/26, 01:15 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
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KalshiRegras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
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- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
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- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
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- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
- A Polymarket cota AfD em 29% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Berlin State Election: 3rd Place é resolvido?
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Berlin State Election: 3rd Place é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Onde mais Berlin State Election: 3rd Place está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.