Probabilidade implícita atual
CDU 56%+11.5ptLíder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
79 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
11,4 mil €
Liquidez
136,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+17.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
8/07/26, 01:12 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt20%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt2%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 922,4 mil
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- € 684,3 mil
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+4.0pt56.4%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- € 11,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 625,2 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88%
- Republican Party-1.0pt12%
- Volume total
- € 28 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 616,3 mil
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- A Polymarket cota CDU em 56% em 18 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Berlin State Election: 2nd Place é resolvido?
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Berlin State Election: 2nd Place é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Onde mais Berlin State Election: 2nd Place está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.