PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Rui Costa 79.8%+3.0ptLíder entre 10 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
65 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,6 mil €
Liquidez
88,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+2.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
17/08/26, 09:56 UTC5/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.4%
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- Volume total
- € 198,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,2 mi
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.3pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
- Volume total
- € 32,5 mi
- Volume 24h
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt61%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39%
- Volume total
- € 9,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 587 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-2.1pt55.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+2.0pt43.6%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-5.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate+4.0pt31.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.8pt7.8%
+1 mais resultados
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-4.0pt68.3%
- Susan Collins+5.0pt31.7%
- Volume total
- € 5,6 mi
- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place?
- A Polymarket cota Rui Costa em 79.8% em 25 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place é resolvido?
- Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place deverá ser resolvido em 5 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.