Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade
One-OffTecnologiaCiência8a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 67.4%
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41
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado11/09/24, 14:06 UTC12/09/34, 03:59 UTC
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As judged by Scott Aaronson https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=8310.
- If Scott does not publicly express an opinion before the resolution date, I will email him to get his take.
- If he cannot or will not answer, and the resolution is unclear, I will do my best to get expert opinions.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 67% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade é resolvido?
- Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade deverá ser resolvido em 12 de setembro de 2034.
- Como Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As judged by Scott Aaronson https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=8310.