Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 94.7%
Previsores
55
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado10/01/24, 23:21 UTC1/03/28, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2028.
- This question includes but is not limited to the detection of biosignatures/technosignatures in our solar system, around other stars or distant galaxies.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-cbfe304a2ed7
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-54f04dd10acb
Mercados abertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 18,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- € 916 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 863,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mil
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will we discover alien life before 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will we discover alien life before 2028? é resolvido?
- Will we discover alien life before 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2028.
- Como Will we discover alien life before 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2028.