Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 90.4%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado5/09/23, 13:09 UTC1/01/28, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Part of a series of markets on the survival of Tumblr.
- Resolves based on my judgement if there's any ambiguity, but I do not expect there to be.
Mercados abertos
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- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
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- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Part of a series of markets on the survival of Tumblr.