Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaSociety & Culture2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 68.2%
Previsores
36
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado25/01/25, 23:35 UTC16/02/29, 05:59 UTC
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FutuurRegras
From January 20th, 2025, no new U.S. passports should be issued with an “X” (other/nondisclosed) in the Sex field — whitehouse.gov; CNN; Fox News
- However, it remains an open question what will happen to existing U.S. passports that were issued with an “X” in the Sex field, particularly over the short term.
- This question resolves YES if any existing, unexpired U.S. passport is actually revoked, solely on the basis of its having an “X” in the Sex field, before the deadline(s) given below.
- Generally, if a U.S. passport requires renewal or replacement, and its holder is required to select “M” or “F” in the Sex field as a condition of that renewal or replacement, that will NOT cause this question to resolve.
- However, if any U.S. passport holder is required by the U.S. passport office to renew their passport solely in order to get rid of an “X” in the Sex field, this question resolves YES.
- This question resolves YES if more than 5 unique States contain any international airport, sea port, or border crossing which officially maintains policy to regard passports with an “X” in the Sex field as being invalid.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 68% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? é resolvido?
- Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? deverá ser resolvido em 16 de fevereiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: From January 20th, 2025, no new U.S. passports should be issued with an “X” (other/nondisclosed) in the Sex field — whitehouse.gov; CNN; Fox News