Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 75%
Previsores
43
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado4/02/24, 22:45 UTC1/02/29, 10:59 UTC
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PredictItRegras
Martial Law following definitions laid out here.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martial_law_in_the_United_States?wprov=sfla1
- This question is only about nationwide martial law, not about a local or isolated martial law declaration in one city or one state.
- There might be a situation where enough states are in martial law for it to de facto count as federal (e.g. all states of the contiguous United States).
- I'll let the comment section decide in that edge case.
- If trump declares martial law in only words, but doesn't act upon it.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? é resolvido?
- Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Martial Law following definitions laid out here.