Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 74.6%
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43
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado6/04/25, 00:18 UTC20/01/29, 23:59 UTC
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-Must occur by the end of the current term: January 20th, 2029.
- -Must be generally declared nationwide, or at least across a large region (it's okay if there are specific areas exempted from it, for example).
- -Must be declared by the Trump administration.
- If Trump is impeached and the next president declares martial law this will not resolve YES.
- -Invoking the Insurrection Act does not automatically equate to declaring martial law nationwide, but if the Insurrection Act was invoked and its powers used in such a way that consensus media reporting characterized the deployment as "declaring martial law" then yes, this could resolve YES.
- -Will not be resolved YES on a technicality, like "Trump declares a national day of mourning and martial law is declared across the country for 1 second for some archaic legal purpose" or something silly like this, idk what form this might take, but I reserve the right to not resolve YES based on some technicality like this.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump declares nationwide martial law??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump declares nationwide martial law? é resolvido?
- Trump declares nationwide martial law? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Trump declares nationwide martial law? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: -Must occur by the end of the current term: January 20th, 2029.