Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?
CommoditiesOne-OffCiência2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 67.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado6/04/26, 18:30 UTC31/03/29, 04:00 UTC
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ForecastExRegras
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 90%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 90% for 2028 NO if: TOPCon share < 90% for 2028
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook
