Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2028?
One-OffTecnologiaCiência2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 58.9%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
6/04/26, 18:30 UTC31/03/29, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegras
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 80%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 80% for 2028 NO if: TOPCon share < 80% for 2028
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook