Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 76.3%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado22/01/26, 00:01 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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FutuurRegras
Resolution criteria
- A general election will be held in Spain no later than Sunday, 22 August 2027, to elect the members of the 16th Cortes Generales.
- This market resolves YES if a national general election to elect a new prime minister occurs at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no such election takes place in 2026 (with the scheduled 2027 election occurring instead).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Spanish government or the Spanish Electoral Commission (Junta Electoral Central).
- The election must be a general election for the Congress of Deputies and Senate, not regional elections.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 76% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? é resolvido?
- Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria