Previsão da comunidade atual
Christopher Luxon 56.9%+5.8ptLíder entre 7 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+7.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 minutos
22/10/26, 07:20 UTC8/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiIsrael election: Who will be the next prime minister?
Manifold MarketsBinyamin Netanyahu still Prime Minister of Israel through the end of 2026?
FutuurRegras
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? · Christopher Luxon 61%