Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 96.7%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado20/06/24, 20:11 UTC30/06/27, 05:59 UTC
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There are not currently plans for such a test.
- However, the Boe-CFT Crewed Flight Test has experienced problems, and there is speculation about another test flight before the first operational flight Starliner-1.
- Will such a flight happen?
- [tweet]Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there is an uncrewed "operational" flight named Starliner-1, this market will resolve No, even if it functions as another test flight in practice.
- The key criterion is whether the flight occurs before the Starliner-1 flight (by name), not whether it's operationally a test.
- If the resolution becomes unclear, the creator will seek an uninvolved second opinion.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? é resolvido?
- Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de junho de 2027.
- Como Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: There are not currently plans for such a test.