Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 68.5%
Previsores
35
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado1/07/23, 08:16 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
This market resolves YES if, before 1st Jan 2027, there is a volcanic explosion of 5 or larger on the Volcanic Explosivity Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_explosivity_index anywhere on Earth.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 69% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if, before 1st Jan 2027, there is a volcanic explosion of 5 or larger on the Volcanic Explosivity Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_explosivity_index anywhere on Earth.