Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 79%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado20/12/23, 11:18 UTC7/01/50, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a crewed mission to Uranus before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
PolymarketSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegras
Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Saturn, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2050.
- For the purpose of this market, a flyby of Saturn must occur within a distance of no more than 10 million kilometers from the planet.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-s-5027258fe404
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-s-78e59fa4805f
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-s-2a28875c1c26
Mercados abertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 103,1 mil
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- € 57,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 57,4 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- € 817,9 mil
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a crewed mission to Saturn before 2050??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a crewed mission to Saturn before 2050? é resolvido?
- Will there be a crewed mission to Saturn before 2050? deverá ser resolvido em 7 de janeiro de 2050.
- Como Will there be a crewed mission to Saturn before 2050? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Saturn, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2050.