Will there be 30+ Palestine protestors in the US Capitol building at any time before Jan 20th 2029?
PolíticaPolítica dos EUAOne-OffOriente MédioEleiçãoGeopolíticaCrime e justiça2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 04:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 75.1%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado27/07/24, 02:05 UTC21/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Barron Trump to say "I am the senate" in the US Capitol building by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached before Jan 20th 2029
Manifold MarketsUS invades Greenland by force by Jan 20th, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketWho will recognize Palestine before 2027?
KalshiRegras
Essentially gauging the probability of a Jan 6th style event but motivated by Palestine rather than election results disfavorable to Trump.
- Timeline set to coincide with the 4 year term of the next president.
- Recent large scale protests in DC following Netanyahu's speech in Congress:
- https://time.com/7003081/photos-netanyahu-washington-dc-protests-demonstrations-police-clashes-arrests-capitol/
- "As he defended Israel’s offensive against Hamas, demonstrators a couple blocks away carried signs denouncing his visit and calling for an end to what they perceive as unwavering American support for Israeli military actions."
- Nearby the capitol and 200 arrests made by Capitol police