Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2043?
InflaçãoOne-OffMacro e economia16aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 58%
Previsores
36
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado7/08/23, 22:23 UTC2/01/43, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the world economy grow by more than 10000% in a single year before the year X?
Manifold MarketsWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?
Manifold MarketsState of the economy at the end of 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRegras
Economic growth is measured by the increase in a country's production of goods and services over a period.
- When taken at a global scale, this is known as the Gross World Product (GWP).
- Historically, GWP growth has been relatively steady, with notable fluctuations due to global events.
- The question posed is whether there will be a substantial, unprecedented growth in GWP – specifically, if GWP during any prior to 2043 will exceed 130% of the highest GWP recorded in any previous year.
- Before 2043, will the Gross World Product (GWP) for any single year exceed 130% of the maximum GWP recorded for any year prior to that?
- Resolution Criteria:
