Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026?
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Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado7/04/26, 14:27 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if the US DOE "impracticable to trace" graphite waiver (FEOC exemption) is still in active effect on December 31, 2026, allowing Chinese-sourced graphite active anode material to qualify EVs for the IRA Section 30D $7,500 federal tax credit.
- Current status (April 2026): Exemption active; scheduled to expire January 1, 2027.
- This market resolves YES if DOE extends the waiver past January 1, 2027, or delays its expiry to after December 31, 2026.
- It resolves NO if the waiver expires as scheduled on January 1, 2027 (meaning on December 31, 2026, it is still active — so YES if the Jan 1, 2027 expiry is still the scheduled date but the waiver is "in force" on Dec 31).
- Clarification: The waiver is active through December 31, 2026 (expiring Jan 1, 2027).
- So the key question is whether DOE extends it or allows it to lapse on schedule.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 69% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if the US DOE "impracticable to trace" graphite waiver (FEOC exemption) is still in active effect on December 31, 2026, allowing Chinese-sourced graphite active anode material to qualify EVs for the IRA Section 30D $7,500 federal tax credit.