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  3. Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?
Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?

Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?

RegulamentaçãoOne-OffPolíticaUS Politics3a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 76%
Qualidade do mercado

40 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

0,4 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

76.0% / 80.0%

Spread

5.3%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

6/05/26, 14:0031/12/29, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes76%

Regras

If legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) has become law after Issuance and before Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Regras

If legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) has become law after Issuance and before Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.