Os Estados Unidos experimentarão uma crise constitucional antes de 2030?
One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsSociety & Culture3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 55%
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151
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Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado10/07/23, 08:22 UTC31/12/29, 16:01 UTC
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KalshiRegras
To qualify, the crisis should be listed here:
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitutional_crisis
- If Wikipedia becomes unreliable, defunct, or does not list a crisis but there's a broad consensus that there has been one, then I'm open to resolving according to a different source.
- Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Broad Consensus Clarification
- If Wikipedia lists a constitutional crisis but there is a broad consensus that it has not occurred, the resolution may be based on a different, less biased source.
- A broad consensus requires more than strong disagreement (for example, stark differences between left and right perspectives); in such a case, Wikipedia remains the guiding source.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Os Estados Unidos experimentarão uma crise constitucional antes de 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 55% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Os Estados Unidos experimentarão uma crise constitucional antes de 2030? é resolvido?
- Os Estados Unidos experimentarão uma crise constitucional antes de 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Os Estados Unidos experimentarão uma crise constitucional antes de 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: To qualify, the crisis should be listed here: