Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.2%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado31/03/26, 14:50 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Joe Biden dies at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Biden survives through December 31, 2026.
- As of January 4, 2026, Joe Biden is 83 years old, having been born on November 20, 1942.
- Biden left the Oval Office on January 20, 2025.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Joe Biden die this year??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Joe Biden die this year? é resolvido?
- Will Joe Biden die this year? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Joe Biden die this year? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria