Will the Trump administration restrict or control voting by midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202615d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 05:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 59%
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado16/03/26, 16:42 UTC10/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Will there be any significant effort to restrict voting rights?
- These would include any photo ID laws or registration changes (such as SAVE America act).
- Canceling mail-in-voting would also count.
- Controlling vote counting or procedure through federalization would also resolve YES.
- If these actions are disputed in court or congress the market will resolve on whether it is active and has any de facto effect during November midterm elections.
- Update 2026-10-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, there must be significant and widespread de facto effects: