Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
PolíticaQuarterlyUS PoliticsWeather1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 76%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado29/08/26, 20:36 UTC2/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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The water cuts a
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before November 3, 2026 (the date of the U.S. midterm elections), both of the following conditions are met:
- Inoperable Reservoirs: The water level of either Lake Powell drops below 3,490 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Glen Canyon Dam) or Lake Mead drops below 950 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Hoover Dam), as recorded by the official U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR).
- Federal Emergency Declaration: President Donald Trump (or the Trump administration) formally issues a federal declaration of emergency (under the Stafford Act, National Emergencies Act, or another applicable federal statute) specifically citing the critical water levels, drought, or dam/power inoperability along the Colorado River basin.
- If both of these conditions are not officially met on or before November 3, 2026, the market will resolve to NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 76% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms? é resolvido?
- Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The water cuts a