Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (50%)
Resolvido: 21 de ago. de 2026, 00:14
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 50%
Previsores
0
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado7/07/26, 16:3121/08/26, 0:14
Tendências
50%
50%
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if NASA or Katalyst Space Technologies officially announces that the Swift Boost mission has successfully rendezvoused with, docked with, and raised the orbit of the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory to a stable, higher altitude (targeting approximately 370 miles / 600 kilometers) by December 31, 2026.
- This market will resolve to NO if:
- The mission is officially declared a failure or is aborted by NASA or Katalyst Space Technologies before the deadline.
- The LINK servicing spacecraft fails to rendezvous, dock, or successfully raise Swift's orbit by December 31, 2026.
- The Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory undergoes uncontrolled atmospheric reentry or is otherwise destroyed.
Mercados abertos
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has best AI model end of August?
- Anthropic-0.5pt98%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+29 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 147,3 mil
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in August?
- Above 1099%
- Above 11-1.0pt98%
- Above 12-4.0pt93%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 420,7 mil
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic91%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+29 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 328,4 mil
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202865%
- Before May 1, 2027-4.0pt51%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt46%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 690,9 mil
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.5pt77%
- 2+0.5pt21%
- 3-0.1pt2%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+1.0pt85%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+29 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Second-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Second-best AI Lab end of August?
- Total space launches in August
- How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 50% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ? é resolvido?
- Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria